Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole — two teammates, chasing one historic honor

By Jeff Lombardi Jr.

In the year of the home run, it was a pair of pitchers that stole the show in 2019. One may point to the astonishing number of home runs being hit – 6,776 to be exact, yet it was two pitchers who shined brightest in 2019. And not just any pairing of pitchers, these two are teammates nonetheless in Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole of the Houston Astros.

Under the assumption that Verlander and Cole finish 1-and-2 in the American League Cy Young Award voting, it will be just the fifth time in MLB history that a pair of teammates accomplished such a feat. The others: Randy Johnson and Curt Schilling in 2001, and again in 2002, Mike Marshall and Andy Messersmith in 1974 and the duo of Don Newcombe and Sal Maglie in 1956.

Teammates to finish 1 -2 in Cy Young Award

MLB History

Randy Johnson       Curt Schilling                         ARI           2002 NL

Randy Johnson       Curt Schilling                         ARI           2001 NL

Mike Marshall       Andy Messersmith                 LAD          1974 NL

Don Newcombe     *Sal Maglie                              BRK           1956 MLB
*Maglie was traded from CLE to BRK mid-season

However, the Verlander/Cole combination are like no other. There would not be much of argument in favor of Curt Schilling deserving the award over Randy Johnson in either of those seasons. The same could be said for Messersmith over Marshall, at least according to the voters. Marshall made all 106 of his appearances as a reliever, earning 17 of 22 first place votes. After all, Johnson received 98% (30/32) of the vote in 2001, and actually bested himself by being a unanimous selection in 2002 – no voter fatigue there. The Verlander/Cole Cy Young balloting is shaping up to be one for the ages. There truly is not one right answer or a clear favorite in the jockeying for the American League’s top pitcher in 2019.

2019 season comparison

Justin Verlander    –                 Gerrit Cole

21-6                           W-L          20-5

223                             IP              212.1

2.58                           ERA          2.50

12.1                           K/9           13.8

.172                           BAA          .186

0.80                           WHIP       0.90

Johnson and Schilling will be the most common tandem thrown around when comparing the 2019 model of Verlander and Cole. Especially given that Verlander notched his 300th strikeout of the season in his final start of the 2019 campaign, joining Cole set the new franchise mark with 326. Johnson (334) and Schilling (316) are the only other teammates in MLB history to reach the 300-strikeout mark in the same season (2002). Additionally, with Verlander and Cole finishing with 21 and 20 wins respectively it is the first time a team had two 20-game winners since 2002 when Randy Johnson and Curt Schilling did it for the Diamondbacks, as did Pedro Martinez and Derek Lowe of the Red Sox.

While this argument isn’t to slight the spectacular seasons Johnson/Schilling. In fact, the dominance they had over two consecutive seasons is exactly why their names are brought up in this discussion. With that being said, the margin between two teammates who are bound to finish 1-2 in the Cy Young balloting has never been as good as what has unfolded in 2019.

2001 season comparison                       2002 season comparison

Johnson      –              Schilling                Johnson      –                Schilling

21-6            W-L          22-6                          24-5             W-L          23-7

249.2           IP              256.2                        260              IP              259.1

2.49             ERA          2.98                          2.32             ERA          3.23

13.4             K/9           10.3                          13.4              K/9           10.97

.203             BAA          .245                          .208             BAA          .224

1.01             WHIP       1.08                          1.03             WHIP       0.97

 Take this into consideration; in the expansion era (since 1961) there have been 13 instances when a pair of teammates finished top two in their respective league in ERA. Since 2000 there have been only four: Kyle Hendricks and Jon Lester in 2016, Roger Clemens and Andy Pettitte in 2005, Pedro Martinez and Derek Lowe in 2002 and Johnson/Schilling in 2001, not 2002. Only in the case of Hendricks (2.13)/Lester (2.44) and Clemens (1.87)/Pettitte (2.39) would both pitchers finish with lower ERAs than Cole (2.50)/Verlander (2.58).

In the same span there have been five pairs of teammates to finish first and second in the MLB in strikeouts: Verlander and Max Scherzer in 2012, Kerry Wood and Mark Prior in 2003, Johnson and Schilling in 2001 and 2002, Nolan Ryan and Frank Tanana in 1976 and Don Drysdale and Sandy Koufax in 1962. By those standards, Verlander and Cole would rank third.

Most Combined K’s by teammates to finish 1-2 in MLB

Expansion Era (since 1961)

Johnson/Schilling                    665           2001

Johnson/Schilling                    650           2002

Verlander/Cole                       626           2019

Ryan/Tanana                           588           1976

Wood/Prior                               511           2003

Verlander/Scherzer                470           2012

Drysdale/Koufax                     448           1962

Now here’s the catch. There’s no denying how appealing strikeouts are. Especially in the era of the three true outcomes (K, BB, HR). It’s worth mentioning that 2019 marks the 11th straight season where the league-wide strikeout record has been broken. With Verlander and Cole both joining the 300 K club this season, there has been at least one pitcher to record 300+ strikeouts in four of the last five seasons, including each of the last three. (Kershaw 301, 2015 – Sale 308, 2017 – Scherzer 300, 2018 – Cole 316, 2019/Verlander 300, 2019).

The ultimate job of a pitcher is run prevention – to give your team the best chance of winning by limiting the opposition. This is done by limiting the amount of base runners allowed via walk or hit, measured by a pitcher’s WHIP. Since 1961, there has been one pair of teammates to finish 1-2 in MLB in WHIP: Don Sutton (0.99) and Jerry Reuss (1.02) in 1980. Verlander’s WHIP of 0.80 and Cole’s 0.90 best both of those figures. To put this into further historical significance, Verlander’s WHIP ranks third among pitchers with at least 200 innings pitched in a single-season in the modern era.

Lowest WHIP in a single-season

Modern Era (since 1900) *Min. 200 IP

Pedro Martinez      0.74         2000

Walter Johnson      0.78         1913

Justin Verlander    0.80         2019

Addie Joss                0.81         1908

Greg Maddux         0.81         1995

Verlander has also limited his opponents’ batting average at a historic rate. His .172 batting average against ranks fourth in MLB history among pitchers who have thrown 200 innings in a single-season.

 Lowest BAA

Single Season – MLB History *Min. 200 IP

Pedro Martinez      .167         2000

Luis Tiant                  .168         1968

Nolan Ryan              .171         1972

Justin Verlander    .172         2019

Max Scherzer         .178         2017

For those who are still crazed by staggering strikeout totals, Houston’s duo stacks up quite well – and not just to Johnson/Schilling of 2001-02. Gerrit Cole’s staggering 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings is the highest figure in the modern era among pitchers who have thrown 200 innings in a single-season. Verlander sits at 12.7, good for second in the American League in 2019.

Highest K/9 in a single-season

Modern Era (since 1900) *Min. 200 IP

Gerrit Cole               13.8         2019

Randy Johnson       13.4         2001

Pedro Martinez      13.2         1999

Chris Sale                 12.9         2017

Randy Johnson       12.6         2000

Cole and Verlander’s dominance has been shown through their raw strikeout numbers as well as their rate per nine innings pitched. Well how about their frequency per batter they face, which is essentially a batting average type calculation for the amount of strikeouts induced by a pitcher. Gerrit Cole’s K rate of 39.9% is also the highest in the modern era among pitchers who have thrown 200 innings in a single-season. And even old reliable, Justin Verlander cracks the list, ranking fifth in the modern era at 35.4%.

Highest K Rate

Single Season – MLB History

Gerrit Cole               39.9%      2019

Pedro Martinez      37.5%      1999

Randy Johnson       37.4%      2001

Chris Sale                 36.2%      2017

Justin Verlander    35.4%      2019

*Min. 200 IP

And who doesn’t like a good streak. Joe DiMaggio is revered for his 56 game-hitting streak in 1941, or baseball’s Iron Man Cal Ripken Jr. who played in 2,632 consecutive games from 1982-1998. And for the sake of the long ball extraordinaires among us, let’s not forget about Dale Long, Don Mattingly and Ken Griffey Jr. who each homered in eight consecutive games.

In the Astros season finale, Gerrit Cole became the first pitcher in baseball history to strikeout 10 or more batters for the ninth consecutive game. And if that wasn’t good enough, Cole extended his consecutive starts without a loss streak to 22 – matching Roger Clemens’ streak in 1998 for the second-longest of it’s kind in baseball history. Cole pitched to a perfect 16-0 mark with a 1.78 ERA, while Houston went 20-2 over that span of starts.

Most Consecutive Games with 10+ K            Most Consecutive Starts without a loss

MLB History                                                         MLB History – Single Season

Gerrit Cole             9              2019                      Dave McNally         26            1969

Chris Sale                 8              2017                      Gerrit Cole             22            2019

Chris Sale                 8              2015                       Roger Clemens       22           1998

Pedro Martinez      8              1999                         Lefty Grove            21           1931

*Cole’s streak is active                                            Mike Fiers              21           2019

Although this is foreseen to be a two horse race, there have been two such occasions where a pitcher has won the Cy Young Award without receiving the most first place votes. In 2009, Tim Lincecum won his second consecutive award in the NL, while Adam Wainwright edged him in first place votes 12-11. That voting was actually a three horse race as Wainwright finished third in the voting. The runner up? Wainwright’s St. Louis Cardinals teammate, Chris Carpenter.

Lincecum lead the senior circuit in strikeouts, while Carpenter owned a league best 2.24 ERA and Wainwright paced the league in wins and innings pitched. The other occurrence was in 1998, also in the National League, when Tom Glavine won the award over Trevor Hoffman. Glavine received 11 first place votes, while Hoffman received 13.

2009 NL Cy Young Voting

Stat                            Lincecum             Carpenter                Wainwright

W-L                            15-7                           17-4                           19-8

IP                                225.1                         192.2                         233

ERA                            2.48                           2.24                           2.63

K/9                             10.4                           6.7                              8.2

WHIP                         1.05                           1.01                           1.21

1st place votes        11 (63%)                     9 (59%)                     12 (56%)

There is no right answer to who should win the 2019 AL Cy Young Award. Justin Verlander has one Cy Young Award under his belt in his MVP season of 2011. However, he has three second place finishes in the award (2012 – Price, 2016 – Porcello and 2018 – Snell). Obviously it is not to the extent of another Hall of Fame fire baller with Houston ties, Nolan Ryan, who went his entire 27 year career without winning the award (six top-5 finishes).

JV’s situation has somewhat of a Trout like feel to it. Trout, undoubtedly the best player of his generation has two AL MVPs (2014, 2016) but has also fallen runner-up on four occasions (2012 – Cabrera, 2013 –Cabrera, 2015 – Donaldson and 2018 – Betts). Verlander, undoubtedly one of the best in all of baseball, if not the best American League pitcher of his generation could be looking at his fourth second place effort. If Verlander comes out on top, he would set the MLB record for most seasons (7) between Cy Young Awards.

Justin Verlander Season Notes

  •  Led MLB pitchers in WHIP (0.80), Opp. AVG (.172), W (21), IP (223). Ranked T-1st in the AL in Quality Starts (26) and 2ndin ERA (2.58) and Opp. OPS (.579).
  • Won 20 games for the second time in his career (24 wins in 2011).
  • His 0.80 WHIP was the third lowest by a starting pitcher in the Modern Era (since 1900) behind only Pedro Martinez (0.74 in 2000) and Walter Johnson (0.78 in 1913).
  • Started the All-Star game for the American League (2nd of his career, 2012).
  • Became the American League’s oldest 20 game winner since Mike Mussina won 20 games at 39 years-old in 2008.
  • Career-high 300 strikeouts (previous high: 290 in 2018).
  • Threw the 3rdno-hitter of his career on Sept. 1 at TOR – 6th pitcher with 3+ no-hitters.
  • Became the 18thpitcher in MLB history to strikeout 3,000 batters. Doing so in the 4th fewest innings (2,979.2) and fifth (453) in terms of games.
  • Became the second pitcher in MLB history to reach 300 K for a season and 3,000 K for a career – in the same season, joining Randy Johnson (who else) who did so on 9/10/2000 at FLA
  • Marked the 12th season of his career with 200 innings pitched (fourth consecutive).
  • Named the 2019 Astros Pitcher of the Year by the Houston Chapter of the Baseball Writers Association of America.

Gerrit Cole Season Notes

  • Led MLB pitchers in K (326) and ranked 2nd in W (20), Opp. AVG (.186). Led the AL in ERA (2.50), Opp. OPS (.579) and T-1 in Quality Starts (26)
  • Recorded the highest strikeout rate (39.9%) and K/9 (13.8) in MLB history – previous record for K/9 was held by Randy Johnson (13.41 in 2001).
  • Set the Astros franchise record for strikeouts (316)
  • Did not suffer a loss over his final 22 starts of the season, the second longest single-season streak of its kind in baseball history: 16-0, 1.78 ERA, 146.2 IP, 226 K, .171 BAA over that span.
  • Recorded 10+ strikeouts in each of his final 9 starts, setting a MLB record.
  • Finished the season with a HOU franchise record 16-game winning streak – the longest in a single-season since Roger Clemens in 2001.
  • His 326 K’s are the most in the MLB since Randy Johnson had 334 in 2002 (ARI). It is the most by an AL pitcher since Nolan Ryan had 341 in 1977 (CAL).
  • Became the fourth pitcher in MLB history to have 21 double-digit strikeout games (Sandy Koufax, Nolan Ryan and Randy Johnson 3x).
  • Set the single-season MLB record by recording seven starts with 10+ K and no walks. The previous record of six was held by Schilling (2002), Johnson (2004) and Clayton Kershaw (2016).
  • Was named the AL Pitcher of the Month in June, July and September.

One more thing…

                Verlander/Cole     RJ/CS 2001              RJ/CS 2002

ERA          2.54                           2.74                           2.77

K/9           12.9                           11.8                           11.3

WHIP       0.85                           1.04                           1.00

 

 

Published by Jeff Lombardi Jr.

Jeff Lombardi Jr. is a graduate of William Paterson University in Wayne, New Jersey where he received degree in journalism with a minor in English writing. Jeff is currently a researcher at MLB Network.

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